MLB Playoff Race Update: September 2021

As September rolls around, Major League Baseball (MLB) finds its regular season nearing its climactic end. This final month is pivotal, as teams vie for the 12 coveted playoff berths – six awarded to division winners and three wild-card spots per league. Every game played in this critical period holds immense significance.

Division Leaders Aim for First-Round Byes

The top two division winners in each league are set to reap the rewards of first-round byes. In the American League (AL), the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians are currently the top contenders for these advantages. The Yankees, grappling for the top spot in the AL East with the Baltimore Orioles, have shown consistent performance throughout the season. In contrast, the AL Central showcases a competitive race among the Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals, and Minnesota Twins, all vying for supremacy.

Over in the AL West, the Houston Astros have established a commanding lead, positioning themselves as strong contenders for the postseason. The wild-card race in the AL remains hotly contested, with the Boston Red Sox targeting the third wild-card spot, a slot presently held by the Minnesota Twins.

National League Contenders

In the National League (NL), the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies hold the coveted first-round byes. The Dodgers, commanding the NL West, have been formidable all season, solidifying their status as top playoff contenders. The NL East paints a dramatic picture with the New York Mets positioning themselves within striking distance of the Atlanta Braves, who currently occupy the third wild-card berth.

The NL West also boasts significant competition beyond the Dodgers, with the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres locking horns for the wild-card series. If the season concluded today, the first-round byes in the National League would go to the Dodgers and Phillies. The Wild Card Series would then feature the No. 3 Brewers taking on the No. 6 Braves, with the No. 4 Diamondbacks up against the No. 5 Padres.

Playoff Picture and Series Matchups

The potential playoff matchups promise an exciting postseason. In the American League, assuming the season ended today, the Wild Card Series would showcase the No. 3 Astros against the No. 6 Twins and the No. 4 Orioles facing off against the No. 5 Royals. Every team is aware of the stakes at play, making each game a critical juncture toward their playoff aspirations.

The National League, equally compelling, would see the Dodgers and Phillies enjoying first-round byes. The remaining Wild Card Series matchups line up the No. 3 Brewers against the No. 6 Braves and the No. 4 Diamondbacks battling the No. 5 Padres. The Braves' ability to secure the third wild-card spot is especially noteworthy, considering their fiercely contested season.

Odds Reflecting Contenders' Strengths

As of August 27, the Dodgers continue to lead as favorites with odds of +350, followed closely by the Yankees at +550. The Phillies and Orioles are also in strong positions with odds of +600 and +650, respectively, embodying the tight competition across both leagues. Other notable odds include the Astros at +850, the Guardians at +1300, and the Padres and Brewers both at +1400. The Braves and Diamondbacks stand at +1600, the Twins at +1800, and the Royals at +2400.

The spread of odds reflects the tightly contested nature of this year’s MLB season. As September unfolds, every game will be critical, and every team knows that the path to playoff glory will be paved with challenges. In this final stretch, the emerging narratives will undoubtedly captivate and engage baseball fans, heightening the excitement as the postseason approaches.