The Major League Baseball landscape witnessed a seismic shift with the news that All-Star third baseman Isaac Paredes is on the move once again. This time, he's returning to familiar territory as the Chicago Cubs and the Tampa Bay Rays have finalized a significant trade just before the July 30 trade deadline.
Paredes, who was initially signed by the Cubs as an amateur, has had quite the journey through the majors. He was first traded to the Detroit Tigers before making his way to the Tampa Bay Rays. Now, he circles back to the franchise that believed in him from the beginning. At 25 years old, Paredes has already established himself as a potent force at third base. His slash line stands at .237/.340/.458 (126 OPS+) with 67 home runs over the course of 354 games. Such numbers put him just a notch behind elite third basemen like Rafael Devers, José Ramírez, Austin Riley, and Manny Machado in OPS+ during that span.
A Closer Look at Paredes' Performance
While Paredes’ offensive metrics are commendable, a few caveats are worth mentioning. His average exit velocity ranks in the 4th percentile according to Statcast's metrics. Additionally, Statcast estimates that had Paredes played all his games at Wrigley Field, he would have accumulated five fewer home runs this season and 12 fewer for his career. Despite these considerations, the Cubs see enormous potential in him. They have secured a player with team control through the 2027 season, hoping to boost their batting capacity and overall team dynamics.
A noteworthy aspect of Paredes' playing style is highlighted by Robert Orr's database, which indicates that Paredes pulls a greater share of fly balls than any other player in the majors. This pull-heavy approach may offer both challenges and opportunities as he adapts to Wrigley Field's dimensions.
The Trade and Its Implications
Included in the trade deal is Christopher Morel, another promising young batter. At 25 years old, Morel's 90th percentile exit velocity places him in the company of hitters like Teoscar Hernández and Joc Pederson. It's anticipated that the Rays might deploy Morel at second base, left field, or as a designated hitter. An expert analyst suggested, "The Rays may want to plop him down at second base (or left field, or DH) and say, 'that's that, go hit and we won't mind the defensive damage.'"
In addition to Morel, the trade package includes 26-year-old pitcher Bigge, who has made four big-league appearances this season with the Cubs, and Johnson, a 22-year-old recent pick from Ball State in last summer’s 15th round. These inclusions add layers of potential to the deal as the Rays continue to reshape their roster.
The Rays' Bold Strategy
For the Rays, this trade is part of a broader strategy executed since the start of July. They've already parted ways with key players, including Randy Arozarena, Zach Eflin, Aaron Civale, Phil Maton, Jason Adam, and now Isaac Paredes. The team won 99 games last season and is only half a game worse in playoff positioning compared to the infamous "White Flag Trade" executed by the 1997 Chicago White Sox. Reflecting on this aggressive approach, an insider quipped, "Clearly the Powers That Be in St. Petersburg view Ron Schueler as a fearless trailblazer that never got his due."
Clearly, the Rays are not afraid to make bold moves, even if it means parting with top talent. By acquiring players like Morel, who experts believe "is a decent bet to be an above-average hitter for at least the next few years," the Rays are focusing on a blend of long-term potential and immediate impact.
Future Outlook
As Isaac Paredes dons the Cubs uniform once again, all eyes will be on how he integrates back into the team that once gave him his start. With their latest acquisitions, the Cubs are looking to solidify their offensive front while also planning for sustained success through the remainder of this and upcoming seasons. In contrast, the Rays' strategy exemplifies a fearless, high-risk, high-reward approach designed to keep them competitive in a fiercely contested MLB landscape.
Only time will tell how this trade will pan out for both teams, but one thing is certain – the MLB world will be closely watching Isaac Paredes’ every move on the diamond.